Measure of the resilience to Spanish economic crisis: the role of specialization

Ana Angulo, Jesús Mur, Javier Trivez

Abstract


Forecasting regional variables provides very important information for political, institutional and economic agents. In this paper, we use predictions from spatial panel data models to evaluate regional resilience to the present economic crisis in term of annual growth rate of employment. Furthermore, we evaluate whether specialization plays a significant role in the degree of resilience to the economic crisis suffered in Spain from 2007. Results show that while specialization on construction and non-market services declines resilience to the crisis, specialization on energy and manufacturing or distribution, transport and common services enlarges the availability of returning to his pre-shock growth path.


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References


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.17811/ebl.3.4.2014.263-275

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ISSN: 2254-4380